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The first September 2023 outlook from the Sea Ice Prediction Network projects once again that #Arctic sea ice is very unlikely to set a new summertime record low this year.

Read the full report at https://arcus.org/sipn/sea-ice-outlook/2023/june. As I always try to annoyingly point out, this is why considering internal climate variability is so important.
#arctic
in reply to Zack Labe

Steven Molnar
Steven Molnar
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It's probably just a typical noisy time series, but I'm beginning to wonder if there is a negative feedback producing dreary (ice-preserving) summer Arctic weather when the ice levels decline.
in reply to Zack Labe

Steven Molnar
Steven Molnar
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Thanks. I don't think this year's high ice extent is explained by either of those papers (with high Fram export and ice-friendly weather in Spring), but it's still early in the melting season and also a sample of only one, which is not very statistically robust.
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