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Items tagged with: recession


“Virtually nothing matters more to markets at present than the #AI buildout. It’s such a sudden and massive stimulus for the #US that it has shifted #macroeconomic data. Columbia Business School’s Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh argues that without it, the US would be in #recession.”


“(Credit) markets have a habit of registering doubt before broader #markets and should be heeded. #Spreads revealed mounting strain long before newspapers declared a #financial panic in 1873. They are performing much the same function today.” #AI www.bloomberg.com/opinion/news... 🎁🔗

AIndicators Hint at Doubts in ...








The Rise And Reign Of The Godfather: Bola Ahmed Tinubu By Lawson Akhigbe




The #AI boom is transforming one of the biggest deflationary forces🚨into a key source of US #INFLATION:

Import prices for comp & elect prods surged +7.4% in:🚨1st 6 months of 2026, to 77.1 pts -highest since Jan 2016.
This also marks a +8.0% YoY jump,🚨the largest annual increase on record.
Historic reversal: from a downtrend *persisted for >2 yrs.

AI inv boom:🚨is straining MFG cap for semis, servers... as cos race to build out AI infra regardless of cost.
-Kobeissi L
#Economy #Recession #USPol


#Hegseth’s #DOD🚨isn’t just running out of weapons as the war on Iran intensifies—it’s also running out of💰.

The WP reported that the🚨DOD is facing an upcoming budget #deficit caused directly by #Trump’s #IranWar, forcing it to cut training, maintenance, & military preparations.🚨Hegseth has also not been transparent or timely about the ultimate costs of the war, leading to more confusion & disarray.

The longer the🤡👑reigns, the deeper the US #debt, a #recession...‼️
#USPol
newrepublic.com/post/213316/pe…


"Live: Iran Revolutionary Guards say they hit US radar and air defence systems in Bahrain and Kuwait"

#NACHO #TACO #Trump #China #Ukraine #News #Politics #Nato #War #ww3 #Military #Russia #USA #Escalation #Europe #EU #Iran #Israel #Pakistan #Alliance #Asia #Africa #Oil #Inflation #Recession #Economy

france24.com/en/middle-east/20…


War mongering continues

"Iran war: US launches fresh strikes as Trump vows revenge "

#NACHO #TACO #Trump #China #Ukraine #News #Politics #Nato #War #ww3 #Military #Russia #USA #Escalation #Europe #EU #Iran #Israel #Pakistan #Alliance #Asia #Africa #Oil #Inflation #Recession #Economy

dw.com/en/top-stories/s-9097


"Oil Market Loses Its Safety Net as Iran Conflict Reignites"

#NACHO #TACO #Trump #China #Ukraine #News #Politics #Nato #War #ww3 #Military #Russia #USA #Escalation #Europe #EU #Iran #Israel #Pakistan #Alliance #Asia #Africa #Oil #Inflation #Recession #Economy

oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-Gen…


BEAN TO BRAND, TARIFF TO TRAP by Lawson Akhigbe




"Despite concerns from debt hawks:🚨US govt is continuing to borrow: for the fiscal year of 2026 so far, the fed #deficit: totaled just under $1.4T.

The 1st 9 months of this fiscal year (beg in Oct)🚨have now surpassed the borrowing levels of 2025, when deficits totaled just >$1.3T for the same period.

At the time of writing, the total US nat #debt sits at $39.4T."

Why the #economy isn't in a #recession, yet *dangerous & unsustainable.
#Trump's set🔥to everything.
#USPol
finance.yahoo.com/economy/poli…


"SPR now:🚨~19M bbl away from est min op levels *very soon will no longer be a safety buffer to protect the W from further losses out of the Strait."
-E Nuttal

"C Martenson est we'd reach this SPR-dec-pt moment by🚨~11 July.

Why Pres Trump took this moment to prove... & blast IR “20-1” resp & CXL: EG sanctions waiver on Iranian oil sales🚨- knowing it'd thrust us to the edge of EG crisis pt is unclear.

Almost seems as if he’s🚨*trying* to spark a #recession or *worse‼️
-DL Davis
#IranWar #USPol



Sales rose 2.8% compared with June last year, but the latest sales tally fell short of the roughly 4.21 million pace economists were expecting, acc/to FactSet.

Home sales have been mostly hovering close to a 4-million annual pace going back to 2023, far short of the historic norm that is closer to 5.2-million.

#economy #affordability #recession #housing #Trumpcession #Trump